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The Federal Budget Deficit: A Discussion of Recent Trends (CRS Report for Congress)

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Release Date Revised March 2, 2005
Report Number RS21786
Report Type Report
Authors Gregg Esenwein, Marc Labonte, and Philip Winters, Government and Finance Division
Source Agency Congressional Research Service
Older Revisions
  • Premium   March 29, 2004 (6 pages, $24.95) add
Summary:

The federal budget deficit in FY2004 was 3.6% of gross domestic product (GDP).When the influence of economic conditions and temporary factors is excluded from themeasurement of budget balances, the FY2004 deficit was 2.6% of GDP. By eithermeasure, the deficit is above the historical average for the last 50 years.The FY2004 deficit represents a dramatic turnaround from the FY2000 surplus of2.4% of GDP. Most of this turnaround can be traced to a fall in receipts, from a 50-yearhigh of 20.9% of GDP in FY2000 to a 45-year low of 16.3% of GDP in FY2004.In percentage terms, tax cuts accounted for approximately 45% of the decline in thefederal budget balance between FY2000 and FY2004. The downturn in the economyand temporary factors were responsible for about 38% of the deterioration in federalfinances, while increases in federal outlays as a percentage of GDP were responsible foranother 17%.