Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Markets in Transition: Implications for U.S. Supply and Price (CRS Report for Congress)
Premium Purchase PDF for $24.95 (14 pages)
add to cart or
subscribe for unlimited access
Pro Premium subscribers have free access to our full library of CRS reports.
Subscribe today, or
request a demo to learn more.
| Release Date |
Revised Jan. 17, 2007 |
| Report Number |
RL32445 |
| Report Type |
Report |
| Authors |
Robert Pirog, Resources, Science, and Industry Division |
| Source Agency |
Congressional Research Service |
| Older Revisions |
-
Premium June 24, 2004 (15 pages, $24.95)
add
|
Summary:
Natural gas consumption in the United States is expected to increase substantially over the coming decades primarily because of its usefulness in generating relatively clean electricity. Domestic supplies are projected to be unable to meet increasing demand because existing fields are yielding less production and new drilling efforts are not replicating past success rates. Pipeline imports from Canada are also projected to decline. Various alternatives exist that might close the demand and supply gap, with imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) being touted as one of the most promising.
As a result of projected supply increases, much of the LNG debate and analysis has focused on the availability of the physical facilities needed to bring larger quantities of LNG into the United States. However, other changes in LNG market structure and practices are also likely to be needed before expanded quantities of LNG can be supplied at competitive market prices.
The traditional LNG market, which developed in the 1970s can be characterized as capital intensive and long term, with restrictive contractual provisions. Risk is managed through the sales contract, and the whole production chain is committed in advance to ensure economic viability of the project. Many of the characteristics of this market are inconsistent with a more competitive market environment.
The LNG market is only in the early stages of a transition which incorporates a viable short term spot market, price discovery through gas-to-gas competition, financial instruments to manage risk, competitive capital acquisition, open access of various links in the supply chain to insure efficient resource allocation, and an expanded set of producers and buyers. Full realization of the potential of LNG to provide a stable source of supply to U.S. markets, as well as providing a price cap to U.S. natural gas prices, awaits changes in market structure, investment in receiving terminals, as well as additional sources of supply.
The extent to which the LNG market develops market-based characteristics may determine the extent to which other sources of natural gas supply are needed. An Alaskan natural gas pipeline, development of restricted prospective resources, and developing advanced technologies to extract natural gas from unconventional sources may be considered as substitutes in closing the projected demand and supply gap.
