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Central American Migration: Root Causes and U.S. Policy (CRS Report for Congress)

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Release Date Revised Oct. 30, 2024
Report Number IF11151
Report Type In Focus
Authors Peter J. Meyer; Maureen Taft-Morales
Source Agency Congressional Research Service
Older Revisions
  • Premium   Revised Nov. 30, 2023 (3 pages, $24.95) add
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Summary:

U.S. policy toward Central America has been a subject of significant debate and oversight over the past decade as Congress has sought to address the underlying factors driving migration from the region to the United States. According to a model developed at the University of Texas at Austin, an average of 407,000 people left the Northern Triangle of Central America (see Figure 1) annually from FY2018 to FY2021, with the majority bound for the United States. Flows have varied from year to year, with an estimated 692,000 people leaving the region in FY2019, followed by 113,000 in FY2020, and 521,000 in FY2021. Some surveys conducted in 2020 found many potential migrants had postponed their plans amid the COVID-19 pandemic but intended to undertake their journeys once governments lifted cross-border travel restrictions. The number of U.S. Border Patrol encounters with foreign nationals from the Northern Triangle countries who had crossed the U.S. Southwest border between ports of entry reached a high of nearly 684,000 in FY2021, before declining for three consecutive years to 352,000 in FY2024 (see Figure 2; these data do not represent unique individuals, since some individuals attempt multiple crossings). Of those encountered in FY2024, 195,000 were Guatemalan; 111,000 were Honduran; and 46,000 were Salvadoran. About 42% of those encountered were single adults, 41% were individuals traveling with family members, and 16% were unaccompanied minors.