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Clean Interstate Rule: Review and Analysis (CRS Report for Congress)

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Release Date May 20, 2005
Report Number RL32927
Report Type Report
Authors Larry Parker, Resources, Science, and Industry Division
Source Agency Congressional Research Service
Summary:

On March 10, 2005, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued its final rule to address the effects of interstate transport of air pollutants on nonattainment of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for fine particulates (PM2.5) and ozone (specifically, the 8-hour standard). The Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) was first proposed as the Interstate Air Quality (IAQ) rule and appeared in the Federal Register January 30, 2004. For PM2.5, CAIR finds that the interstate transport of sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) from 23 states and the District of Columbia contributes significantly to downwind nonattainment; for ozone, CAIR finds that interstate transport of NOx from 25 states and the District of Columbia contributes significantly to downwind nonattainment of the 8-hour standard. This result differs some from the proposed rule because of improved modeling. EPA decided in CAIR to create three emissions caps: Two are annual emissions caps that address the interstate contribution of SO2 and NOx to PM2.5 nonattainment; the third cap is a seasonal cap to address interstate contribution of NOx to ozone nonattainment. The three caps are implemented in two phases: Phase 1 begins in 2009 for the NOx caps and 2010 for the SO2 cap. Improved modeling and other considerations resulted in some changes in the final rule from the proposed IAQ. For example, in CAIR, EPA added a fuel-type adjustment factor to the NOx allocation formula that provides significantly more NOx allowances to states that have coal-fired electric generation compared with those with natural gas-fired generation. Although changes to the proposed rule may be important in specific cases, they do not represent a major shift in the thrust and scope of CAIR. That CAIR has not had the visibility of the contemporaneous mercury (Hg) rule should not be interpreted to mean that the underlying issue of PM2.5 and 8-hour ozone compliance has been solved. EPA is currently reviewing the stringency of the PM2.5 NAAQS, a process that may result in a more stringent standard. Given CAIR's lengthy schedule, it seems likely that if the PM2.5 NAAQS is strengthened, efforts to revise CAIR would occur. Likewise, CAIR does not address the most potent environmental issue surrounding fossil-fuel-fired electric generating facilities -- global warming and the possibility of carbon dioxide reductions. Movement on that issue over the next decade could result in a modification of CAIR, or a new multi-pollutant control regime. Bills have been introduced in Congress to create such a system. Finally, CAIR raises questions about the future of the Bush Administration's legislative initiative -- Clear Skies. Clear Skies represents a complete rewrite of Title IV of the Clean Air Act (CAA) and would impose a comprehensive cap-and-trade system on utility SO2, NOx, and Hg emissions. In addition, Clear Skies would alter, delete, or hold in abeyance for some time existing sections of the CAA with respect to affected electric facilities and industrial sources that chose to opt into the program. With the promulgation of CAIR that achieves NOx and SO2 emissions reductions from most of the country's electricity generating facilities, and of the final Hg rule, it is unclear what impetus remains for Clear Skies. This report will not be updated.