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Global Climate Change: The Role for Energy Efficiency (CRS Report for Congress)

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Release Date Feb. 3, 2000
Report Number RL30414
Report Type Report
Authors Fred Sissine, Resources, Science, and Industry Division
Source Agency Congressional Research Service
Summary:

Increased energy efficiency is generally thought to be the primary way to reduce the nation's growth in CO2 emissions. As result, it occupies a prominent role in proposals to curb future emissions. The Clinton Administration's 1993 Climate Change Action Plan (CCAP) sought to stabilize year 2000 emissions at the 1990 level. Global recognition that year 2000 stabilization would not be achieved led to the 1997 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change third conference of parties (COP-3) in Kyoto, Japan, where new emission reduction targets were proposed for 2008- 2012. Subsequently, the Clinton Administration's Climate Change Technology Initiative (CCTI) proposed increased energy efficiency research and development spending, tax credits, and other policies to promote energy efficiency to curb emissions. A debate has emerged over estimates of the potential for energy efficiency to further slow the growth of CO2 emissions. The Department of Energy issued a report by five national laboratories entitled Scenarios of U.S. Carbon Reductions: Potential Impacts of Energy Technologies by 2010 and Beyond . Also known as the Five-Lab Study , it projects that energy efficiency technology combined with a permit price of $50 per ton of carbon could bring 2010 emissions to a level just below the 1990 stabilization level. The Five-Lab Study projects that energy efficiency could account for 50% to 90% of the projected emissions reduction in 2010. This contribution would be achieved through an interaction between higher energy costs due to carbon permit prices that range up to $50/ton of carbon and a choice of response options that include substitution of lower carbon fuels and promotion of more energy efficient equipment. However, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) issued a critique of the Five-Lab Study entitled Impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Energy Markets and Economic Activity . EIA finds problems with key DOE assumptions about new energy-efficient technologies, which include "... increased performance and lower costs for new technologies, new [unspecified] government policies that promote adoption into the market, and a greater propensity by consumers to buy them than they have shown in the past." EIA further criticizes the Five-Lab Study for assuming an aggressive R&D program and a 1.9% annual economic growth rate, which is 10% lower than EIA's assumption of a 2.2% rate. Moreover, EIA says the Five-Lab Study end-use models likely include some double counting of emission reductions. Also, there is a debate over the analysis of actual CO2 emission reductions from past energy efficiency measures. In this case, methodological issues are at the core of disagreements between the General Accounting Office (GAO) and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) about the best way to assess emission savings from EPA's various energy efficiency programs. Federal efforts to curb global climate change through increased energy efficiency may be affected by a number of issues being debated by Congress, including program appropriations, new tax incentives, and legislation on electricity restructuring.