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South Korea: “Sunshine Policy” and Its Political Context (CRS Report for Congress)

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Release Date Feb. 12, 2001
Report Number RL30188
Report Type Report
Authors Rinn S. Shinn, Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Source Agency Congressional Research Service
Summary:

Into his third year of rule, President Kim Dae Jung continues to receive high ratings in polls, except for his handling of political matters. The political situation is volatile and uncertain, with his ruling Millennium Democratic Party (MDP) locked in a partisan standoff with the opposition Grand National Party (GNP) led by Lee Hoi Chang. President Kim also has a tenuous relationship with his former coalition partner, the United Liberal Democrats (ULD). This fluid situation has complicated domestic support for the President's "sunshine policy"of engagement with North Korea. U.S. Policymakers, including many in Congress, have mixed views on the efficacy of the engagement policy and have a strong interest in South Korean political support for the policy and for President Kim. The partisan strife is rooted in regionalism, a defining issue in South Korean politics. From 1961 through 1997, power was associated with the southeastern Kyongsang region; but under President Kim's stewardship, it shifted to his political stronghold the southwestern Cholla region. Significantly, this shift also marked the ascendency of a power elite with a liberal political outlook quite different from that of the conservative establishment associated with the GNP. The opposition, with its previously dominant parliamentary majority, has tried to regroup to regain its strength. The ongoing partisan struggle has complicated President Kim's effort to attain bipartisan support on various issues, including economic reform and policy toward North Korea. President Kim has tried to engage Pyongyang in a more conciliatory and more consistent manner than was the case with his predecessors. The June 2000 inter-Korean summit seemed to vindicate this approach. Since 1998, President Kim has espoused a "comprehensive" approach to meet Pyongyang's economic, security, and political concerns, with support from the United States and Japan. In return, Pyongyang is to mend fences with the South and, equally important, to halt its nuclear and missile programs. This approach is predicated on the provision of incentives to Pyongyang by Seoul, Washington, and Tokyo; a solid allied united front in policy coordination; and patience in dealing with Pyongyang's penchant for contentiousness and duplicity. The underlying rationale is that, in time, North Korea will moderate and play by the rules of the international community. If the history of negotiations with Pyongyang is any indication, the settlement of inter- Korean conflict seems certain to be thorny, depending on, among other things, whether the goals and priorities of the allied engagement policy can be consistent with North Korea's.